Secondary sales regained momentum while rents softened into a wider negotiation market
April sales rose 4.1% month-on-month on higher AED/sqm pricing; rental deals fell 11.1% and average AED/sqm rent fell 6.2%.
By Hazel's Research DeskPublished CoverageSales are still clearing at stronger prices, but rent demand cooled in April. Live asking rents now sit above cleared rents in prime towers, while JVC is already pricing closer to tenants.
Rentals
Window: transacted rental data uses April 2026, the latest complete month. Live asking data is current as of 2026-05-24. Rent amounts are annual AED/year.
Citywide move: April cooled, and it was not just volume
| Rental market | Deals | Avg rent | Median rent | Avg AED/sqm | Volume | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2026 | 9,715 | AED 107,545 | AED 72,247 | AED 1,266 | AED 1.04B | — |
| Apr 2026 | 8,636 | AED 101,495 | AED 65,223 | AED 1,188 | AED 876.5M | Deals -11.1%, AED/sqm -6.2% |
| Apr 2025 | 11,778 | AED 107,225 | AED 70,240 | AED 1,283 | AED 1.26B | Apr 2026 YoY: deals -26.7%, AED/sqm -7.4% |
Confidence: high — April citywide sample: 8,636 rental transactions.
The rent market weakened on both axes: fewer contracts and lower AED/sqm pricing. The year-on-year comparison is cleaner than the month-on-month read because it controls for seasonal rhythm. It still shows fewer deals and lower pricing. Not subtle. Real estate rarely does jazz hands, but this one did wave.
Year-to-date: rent is flat on price, down on activity
| YTD rental market | Deals | Avg rent | Median rent | Avg AED/sqm | Volume | Change vs prior YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan-Apr 2025 | 32,050 | AED 112,942 | AED 85,292 | AED 1,266 | AED 3.62B | — |
| Jan-Apr 2026 | 29,691 | AED 114,724 | AED 85,292 | AED 1,267 | AED 3.41B | Deals -7.4%, AED/sqm +0.1%, volume -5.9% |
Confidence: high — YTD sample: 29,691 rental transactions after standard rent outlier filtering.
The medium-term picture is not a rent crash. It is an activity slowdown with flat pricing. April was softer than the YTD trend, so the latest month matters more than the annual average if you are negotiating a renewal today.
Where rents moved most in April
| Community | Apr deals | Apr avg AED/sqm | MoM AED/sqm | MoM deal volume | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deira | 188 | 1,190 | +8.6% | -27.4% | High sample |
| International City | 206 | 1,760 | +8.1% | -3.3% | High sample |
| JVC | 291 | 1,455 | +4.9% | -26.1% | High sample |
| Dubai Silicon Oasis | 118 | 1,432 | +0.9% | -9.9% | Moderate sample |
| Dubai Marina | 208 | 1,183 | -1.7% | -19.1% | High sample |
| Business Bay | 177 | 1,390 | -4.7% | -24.4% | High sample |
| Discovery Gardens | 99 | 1,214 | -4.3% | -25.0% | Moderate sample |
| Al Nahda | 139 | 791 | -3.4% | -17.8% | Moderate sample |
| Al Badaa | 94 | 859 | -20.0% | +4.4% | Moderate sample |
The strength was not in the usual premium corridor. Deira, International City and JVC held pricing better than Business Bay, Dubai Marina and Downtown-adjacent stock. That points to affordability-led demand, not broad prime-market acceleration.
Segment mix: 1BR and 2BR activity fell sharply
| Segment | Apr deals | Apr median rent | Apr avg AED/sqm | MoM deals | MoM AED/sqm | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1BR | 1,411 | AED 84,288 | 1,417 | -18.8% | -1.9% | High sample |
| 2BR | 835 | AED 91,313 | 1,018 | -22.5% | -0.8% | High sample |
| 3BR | 163 | AED 130,446 | 894 | -26.9% | -0.3% | Moderate sample |
| 5BR+ | 652 | AED 75,258 | 2,049 | -6.3% | +0.5% | High sample, mixed unit coding |
The main apartment rental bands — 1BR and 2BR — lost volume faster than price. That usually means landlords can still clear units, but the pool of tenants willing to transact at current levels is thinner.
Supply versus demand: asking rents are still above cleared rents in prime areas
| Community | Live listings | Live median asking rent | Apr transacted median rent | Asking gap | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dubai Marina | 7,149 | AED 129,000 | AED 100,343 | +28.6% | High listing and transaction samples |
| Business Bay | 8,119 | AED 110,000 | AED 95,326 | +15.4% | High listing and transaction samples |
| JVC | 12,734 | AED 75,000 | AED 81,278 | -7.7% | High listing and transaction samples |
Live asking data as of 2026-05-24. Transaction medians are April 2026. The gap is not perfectly like-for-like because unit mix differs, but it shows negotiation pressure.
Dubai Marina and Business Bay landlords are still advertising above the April clearing level. JVC is different: asking rents sit below April transacted medians, which is consistent with a market trying to move inventory rather than defend last quarter's level.
Trajectory: April broke lower after two flat quarters
Rent Quarterly Activity
Oct 2025–Apr 2026 · Deals (bars, left axis) · Avg AED/sqm (line, right axis)
| Period | Deals | Avg AED/sqm | Median rent | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | 29,821 | 1,269 | AED 85,292 | High sample |
| Q1 2026 | 24,630 | 1,271 | AED 85,292 | High sample |
| Apr 2026 | 5,061 | 1,248 | AED 83,285 | High sample, partial quarter |
The multi-quarter pattern was flat, then April softened. One month does not prove a new rent cycle, but it does show that the market no longer has the same upward pressure it carried through 2024 and early 2025.
Secondary
Window: transacted secondary-market sales use April 2026, the latest complete month. Live asking data is current as of 2026-05-24.
Citywide move: sales volume and price both rose in April
| Secondary market | Deals | Avg price | Median price | Avg AED/sqm | Volume | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2026 | 11,774 | AED 2.11M | AED 1.50M | AED 20,865 | AED 24.84B | — |
| Apr 2026 | 12,260 | AED 2.24M | AED 1.59M | AED 21,498 | AED 27.51B | Deals +4.1%, AED/sqm +3.0% |
| Apr 2025 | 14,426 | AED 2.07M | AED 1.36M | AED 19,945 | AED 29.83B | Apr 2026 YoY: deals -15.0%, AED/sqm +7.8% |
Confidence: high — April citywide sample: 12,260 secondary transactions.
Sales are doing the opposite of rentals: fewer deals than last year, but higher prices. April's month-on-month move was clean — volume, median price and AED/sqm all rose.
Year-to-date: secondary is stronger than last year on price and value
| YTD secondary market | Deals | Avg price | Median price | Avg AED/sqm | Volume | Change vs prior YTD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan-Apr 2025 | 50,741 | AED 2.07M | AED 1.44M | AED 19,461 | AED 105.11B | — |
| Jan-Apr 2026 | 52,673 | AED 2.22M | AED 1.55M | AED 21,085 | AED 116.80B | Deals +3.8%, AED/sqm +8.3%, volume +11.1% |
Confidence: high — YTD sample: 52,673 secondary transactions.
This is not a one-month sales bounce. The YTD tape shows more deals, higher AED/sqm pricing and higher total value than the same period last year.
Where sales moved most in April
| Community | Apr deals | Apr avg AED/sqm | MoM AED/sqm | MoM deal volume | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dubai Creek Harbour | 593 | 29,182 | +10.0% | +218.8% | High sample |
| Dubai Islands | 693 | 31,828 | +7.1% | +69.4% | High sample |
| Dubai South | 1,134 | 18,146 | +4.5% | +14.2% | High sample |
| JVC | 796 | 17,086 | +4.2% | -8.5% | High sample |
| Dubai Marina | 201 | 31,637 | +3.9% | +1.0% | High sample |
| Business Bay | 344 | 25,149 | -5.9% | -12.7% | High sample |
| JVT | 386 | 17,293 | -4.8% | -4.7% | High sample |
| Meydan | 301 | 28,415 | -14.5% | -22.6% | High sample |
| Dubai Hills Estate | 144 | 25,302 | -4.5% | -28.7% | Moderate sample |
The volume surge was concentrated in development-heavy corridors: Dubai Creek Harbour, Dubai Islands, Dubai South, Jabal Ali First, DIP and Damac Lagoons. Prime resale areas were mixed: Dubai Marina held, Business Bay and Meydan weakened on AED/sqm.
Segment mix: apartments drove volume; villas drove ticket size
| Segment | Apr deals | Median price | Avg AED/sqm | MoM deals | MoM AED/sqm | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apartments | 11,194 | AED 1.45M | 21,585 | +6.5% | +2.5% | High sample |
| Villas | 1,066 | AED 3.90M | 20,581 | -15.6% | +7.2% | High sample |
Apartments carried liquidity. Villas had fewer deals, but the contracts that did clear were materially higher in both ticket size and AED/sqm. That is a mix shift toward better villa stock, not necessarily a uniform villa-market lift.
Supply versus demand: asking sale prices still carry premiums, but the gap is narrower than rents
| Community | Live listings | Live median asking price | Apr transacted median price | Asking gap | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dubai South | 3,487 | AED 1.75M | AED 1.58M | +11.1% | High listing and transaction samples |
| JVC | 6,995 | AED 1.16M | AED 1.02M | +14.0% | High listing and transaction samples |
| Dubai Islands | 2,946 | AED 3.31M | AED 3.16M | +4.7% | High listing and transaction samples |
Live asking data as of 2026-05-24. Transaction medians are April 2026. The asking premium is present, but it is not absurd in the active sales corridors. Dubai Islands is especially tight: current asking is only 4.7% above the April median transaction price.
Trajectory: the sales price line is still rising
Sale Quarterly Activity
Oct 2025–Apr 2026 · Deals (bars, left axis) · Avg AED/sqm (line, right axis)
| Period | Deals | Avg AED/sqm | Median price | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 2025 | 50,506 | 20,553 | AED 1.37M | High sample |
| Q1 2026 | 40,413 | 20,960 | AED 1.54M | High sample |
| Apr 2026 | 12,260 | 21,498 | AED 1.59M | High sample, partial quarter |
Sales pricing has stepped up across the last three observed periods. Volume is not comparable quarter-to-quarter because April is only one month, but the AED/sqm direction is clear.
Yield: strongest area-level benchmarks are outside the prime waterfront core
| Area | Typical unit scope | Market yield | Conservative / optimistic range | Pricing confidence | Sample base |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dubai Silicon Oasis | 1BR area-level | 9.6% | 3.3%-24.7% | Rent high, sale moderate | 6,172 area data points |
| Arjan | 1BR area-level | 8.4% | 4.0%-14.9% | Rent low, sale high | 2,288 area data points |
| JVC | 1BR area-level | 7.7% | 3.5%-13.4% | Rent moderate, sale high | 23,887 area data points |
| Dubai South | 1BR area-level | 7.2% | 3.7%-15.7% | Rent low, sale high | 7,022 area data points |
| Dubai Marina | 1BR area-level | 4.9% | 1.4%-17.8% | Rent high, sale moderate | 11,539 area data points |
| Business Bay | 1BR area-level | 4.6% | 1.7%-9.9% | Rent moderate, sale moderate | 11,493 area data points |
Based on broader area data, not building-specific. The yield table says what it usually says in Dubai: income yield is strongest where entry prices are lower and tenant demand is deep. Prime waterfront stock can still work, but yield is not the main argument there.
Caveats
- DLD transaction data is complete through April 2026 for this monitor; live listing data is current as of 2026-05-24.
- Asking-versus-transacted gaps are not perfect like-for-like comparisons because bedroom and size mix differ between live inventory and completed deals.
- Rent segment and YTD tables use the standard rent outlier filter; citywide monthly rollups use the full transaction rollup.
- Yield figures are area-level benchmarks for typical 1BR stock, not building-specific underwriting.