Weekly Market Monitor · ISO 2026-W21 · Dubai

Secondary sales regained momentum while rents softened into a wider negotiation market

April sales rose 4.1% month-on-month on higher AED/sqm pricing; rental deals fell 11.1% and average AED/sqm rent fell 6.2%.

By Hazel's Research DeskPublished Coverage

Sales are still clearing at stronger prices, but rent demand cooled in April. Live asking rents now sit above cleared rents in prime towers, while JVC is already pricing closer to tenants.

Rentals

Window: transacted rental data uses April 2026, the latest complete month. Live asking data is current as of 2026-05-24. Rent amounts are annual AED/year.

Citywide move: April cooled, and it was not just volume

Rental marketDealsAvg rentMedian rentAvg AED/sqmVolumeChange
Mar 20269,715AED 107,545AED 72,247AED 1,266AED 1.04B
Apr 20268,636AED 101,495AED 65,223AED 1,188AED 876.5MDeals -11.1%, AED/sqm -6.2%
Apr 202511,778AED 107,225AED 70,240AED 1,283AED 1.26BApr 2026 YoY: deals -26.7%, AED/sqm -7.4%

Confidence: high — April citywide sample: 8,636 rental transactions.

The rent market weakened on both axes: fewer contracts and lower AED/sqm pricing. The year-on-year comparison is cleaner than the month-on-month read because it controls for seasonal rhythm. It still shows fewer deals and lower pricing. Not subtle. Real estate rarely does jazz hands, but this one did wave.

Year-to-date: rent is flat on price, down on activity

YTD rental marketDealsAvg rentMedian rentAvg AED/sqmVolumeChange vs prior YTD
Jan-Apr 202532,050AED 112,942AED 85,292AED 1,266AED 3.62B
Jan-Apr 202629,691AED 114,724AED 85,292AED 1,267AED 3.41BDeals -7.4%, AED/sqm +0.1%, volume -5.9%

Confidence: high — YTD sample: 29,691 rental transactions after standard rent outlier filtering.

The medium-term picture is not a rent crash. It is an activity slowdown with flat pricing. April was softer than the YTD trend, so the latest month matters more than the annual average if you are negotiating a renewal today.

Where rents moved most in April

CommunityApr dealsApr avg AED/sqmMoM AED/sqmMoM deal volumeConfidence
Deira1881,190+8.6%-27.4%High sample
International City2061,760+8.1%-3.3%High sample
JVC2911,455+4.9%-26.1%High sample
Dubai Silicon Oasis1181,432+0.9%-9.9%Moderate sample
Dubai Marina2081,183-1.7%-19.1%High sample
Business Bay1771,390-4.7%-24.4%High sample
Discovery Gardens991,214-4.3%-25.0%Moderate sample
Al Nahda139791-3.4%-17.8%Moderate sample
Al Badaa94859-20.0%+4.4%Moderate sample

The strength was not in the usual premium corridor. Deira, International City and JVC held pricing better than Business Bay, Dubai Marina and Downtown-adjacent stock. That points to affordability-led demand, not broad prime-market acceleration.

Segment mix: 1BR and 2BR activity fell sharply

SegmentApr dealsApr median rentApr avg AED/sqmMoM dealsMoM AED/sqmConfidence
1BR1,411AED 84,2881,417-18.8%-1.9%High sample
2BR835AED 91,3131,018-22.5%-0.8%High sample
3BR163AED 130,446894-26.9%-0.3%Moderate sample
5BR+652AED 75,2582,049-6.3%+0.5%High sample, mixed unit coding

The main apartment rental bands — 1BR and 2BR — lost volume faster than price. That usually means landlords can still clear units, but the pool of tenants willing to transact at current levels is thinner.

Supply versus demand: asking rents are still above cleared rents in prime areas

CommunityLive listingsLive median asking rentApr transacted median rentAsking gapConfidence
Dubai Marina7,149AED 129,000AED 100,343+28.6%High listing and transaction samples
Business Bay8,119AED 110,000AED 95,326+15.4%High listing and transaction samples
JVC12,734AED 75,000AED 81,278-7.7%High listing and transaction samples

Live asking data as of 2026-05-24. Transaction medians are April 2026. The gap is not perfectly like-for-like because unit mix differs, but it shows negotiation pressure.

Dubai Marina and Business Bay landlords are still advertising above the April clearing level. JVC is different: asking rents sit below April transacted medians, which is consistent with a market trying to move inventory rather than defend last quarter's level.

Trajectory: April broke lower after two flat quarters

Rent Quarterly Activity

Oct 2025–Apr 2026 · Deals (bars, left axis) · Avg AED/sqm (line, right axis)

Quarterly rental volume and AED/sqm pricing, Oct 2025-Apr 2026
PeriodDealsAvg AED/sqmMedian rentConfidence
Q4 202529,8211,269AED 85,292High sample
Q1 202624,6301,271AED 85,292High sample
Apr 20265,0611,248AED 83,285High sample, partial quarter

The multi-quarter pattern was flat, then April softened. One month does not prove a new rent cycle, but it does show that the market no longer has the same upward pressure it carried through 2024 and early 2025.

Secondary

Window: transacted secondary-market sales use April 2026, the latest complete month. Live asking data is current as of 2026-05-24.

Citywide move: sales volume and price both rose in April

Secondary marketDealsAvg priceMedian priceAvg AED/sqmVolumeChange
Mar 202611,774AED 2.11MAED 1.50MAED 20,865AED 24.84B
Apr 202612,260AED 2.24MAED 1.59MAED 21,498AED 27.51BDeals +4.1%, AED/sqm +3.0%
Apr 202514,426AED 2.07MAED 1.36MAED 19,945AED 29.83BApr 2026 YoY: deals -15.0%, AED/sqm +7.8%

Confidence: high — April citywide sample: 12,260 secondary transactions.

Sales are doing the opposite of rentals: fewer deals than last year, but higher prices. April's month-on-month move was clean — volume, median price and AED/sqm all rose.

Year-to-date: secondary is stronger than last year on price and value

YTD secondary marketDealsAvg priceMedian priceAvg AED/sqmVolumeChange vs prior YTD
Jan-Apr 202550,741AED 2.07MAED 1.44MAED 19,461AED 105.11B
Jan-Apr 202652,673AED 2.22MAED 1.55MAED 21,085AED 116.80BDeals +3.8%, AED/sqm +8.3%, volume +11.1%

Confidence: high — YTD sample: 52,673 secondary transactions.

This is not a one-month sales bounce. The YTD tape shows more deals, higher AED/sqm pricing and higher total value than the same period last year.

Where sales moved most in April

CommunityApr dealsApr avg AED/sqmMoM AED/sqmMoM deal volumeConfidence
Dubai Creek Harbour59329,182+10.0%+218.8%High sample
Dubai Islands69331,828+7.1%+69.4%High sample
Dubai South1,13418,146+4.5%+14.2%High sample
JVC79617,086+4.2%-8.5%High sample
Dubai Marina20131,637+3.9%+1.0%High sample
Business Bay34425,149-5.9%-12.7%High sample
JVT38617,293-4.8%-4.7%High sample
Meydan30128,415-14.5%-22.6%High sample
Dubai Hills Estate14425,302-4.5%-28.7%Moderate sample

The volume surge was concentrated in development-heavy corridors: Dubai Creek Harbour, Dubai Islands, Dubai South, Jabal Ali First, DIP and Damac Lagoons. Prime resale areas were mixed: Dubai Marina held, Business Bay and Meydan weakened on AED/sqm.

Segment mix: apartments drove volume; villas drove ticket size

SegmentApr dealsMedian priceAvg AED/sqmMoM dealsMoM AED/sqmConfidence
Apartments11,194AED 1.45M21,585+6.5%+2.5%High sample
Villas1,066AED 3.90M20,581-15.6%+7.2%High sample

Apartments carried liquidity. Villas had fewer deals, but the contracts that did clear were materially higher in both ticket size and AED/sqm. That is a mix shift toward better villa stock, not necessarily a uniform villa-market lift.

Supply versus demand: asking sale prices still carry premiums, but the gap is narrower than rents

CommunityLive listingsLive median asking priceApr transacted median priceAsking gapConfidence
Dubai South3,487AED 1.75MAED 1.58M+11.1%High listing and transaction samples
JVC6,995AED 1.16MAED 1.02M+14.0%High listing and transaction samples
Dubai Islands2,946AED 3.31MAED 3.16M+4.7%High listing and transaction samples

Live asking data as of 2026-05-24. Transaction medians are April 2026. The asking premium is present, but it is not absurd in the active sales corridors. Dubai Islands is especially tight: current asking is only 4.7% above the April median transaction price.

Trajectory: the sales price line is still rising

Sale Quarterly Activity

Oct 2025–Apr 2026 · Deals (bars, left axis) · Avg AED/sqm (line, right axis)

Quarterly secondary-market volume and AED/sqm pricing, Oct 2025-Apr 2026
PeriodDealsAvg AED/sqmMedian priceConfidence
Q4 202550,50620,553AED 1.37MHigh sample
Q1 202640,41320,960AED 1.54MHigh sample
Apr 202612,26021,498AED 1.59MHigh sample, partial quarter

Sales pricing has stepped up across the last three observed periods. Volume is not comparable quarter-to-quarter because April is only one month, but the AED/sqm direction is clear.

Yield: strongest area-level benchmarks are outside the prime waterfront core

AreaTypical unit scopeMarket yieldConservative / optimistic rangePricing confidenceSample base
Dubai Silicon Oasis1BR area-level9.6%3.3%-24.7%Rent high, sale moderate6,172 area data points
Arjan1BR area-level8.4%4.0%-14.9%Rent low, sale high2,288 area data points
JVC1BR area-level7.7%3.5%-13.4%Rent moderate, sale high23,887 area data points
Dubai South1BR area-level7.2%3.7%-15.7%Rent low, sale high7,022 area data points
Dubai Marina1BR area-level4.9%1.4%-17.8%Rent high, sale moderate11,539 area data points
Business Bay1BR area-level4.6%1.7%-9.9%Rent moderate, sale moderate11,493 area data points

Based on broader area data, not building-specific. The yield table says what it usually says in Dubai: income yield is strongest where entry prices are lower and tenant demand is deep. Prime waterfront stock can still work, but yield is not the main argument there.

Caveats

  • DLD transaction data is complete through April 2026 for this monitor; live listing data is current as of 2026-05-24.
  • Asking-versus-transacted gaps are not perfect like-for-like comparisons because bedroom and size mix differ between live inventory and completed deals.
  • Rent segment and YTD tables use the standard rent outlier filter; citywide monthly rollups use the full transaction rollup.
  • Yield figures are area-level benchmarks for typical 1BR stock, not building-specific underwriting.
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